General Discussion

Sebastian

@alexbart98 value betting is not low variance

alexbart98

@Sebastian this is max odds of 5 so it is really, most of my bets have been placed at odds of 2-3

Devilsp

Morning all

I’ve found top odds of 3 has helped the wins come in.

Question: what are people staking? Kelly? Own, if so what’s your strategy?

To get confidence in the tool I was doing £1. Now at £2 - wild I know!

alexbart98

@Devilsp Im doing Kelly where possible, but I find that due to liquidity there is often a max stake

Devilsp

@alexbart98
How you finding that?

I’m doing £2 bets unless something catches my eye then I’ll do £3/4

Highest odds of 3 seems to be helping - I was losing more with higher odds

Yes that’s over just 88 bets and I’m about £16 profit for £11 ish EV

Small I know but I’m just testing what works given it’s new

alexbart98

@Devilsp not well. currently at -290 from 1100 ev.

Devilsp

@alexbart98 ouch - how may bets have you done?

alexbart98

@Devilsp 650

john.matthew.norman

@Devilsp I’m -£170 after 325 bets. EV is at £770

Theoretically this should work, as the odds do drop quickly after putting some bets on. But it feels like a slog as my general curve is straight or down and I’ve got to recoup the losses and the initial outlay for the tool. )Plus I’ve lost ~10 bookies from doing this.)

Devilsp

@john-matthew-norman this is interesting
I haven’t lost any bookies yet

What sort of stakes have you been doing?

I’m hoping we can all get out heads together to find the sweet spot - EF defo has potential in just thinking it’s more slow and steady - the opposite of EWNL!

Devilsp

@alexbart98 what odds are you taking?

jordanstansbury3

is this tool actually working for anyone? It was billed as the 'game changer' for matched betting but everyone I've seen is in the red even with like 1000 or more EV... I'm now in the red for the first time after about 100 bets. Not sure if this is even worth using anymore considering how bad it must be for my account health in the long run, and from what I've seen from others. I'm sure the bookies must be catching onto the fact that we're all now betting on Turkish women's 2nd division football as well!

Would really like it if the admin staff could address everyone's concerns because right now it feels like we've been sold something lacklustre and suddenly its now crickets in the comments from them

john.matthew.norman

@Devilsp I’ve been doing the Kelly Stakes where possible. Average £15, probably. But anywhere from £5 to £30 is normal.

Then I was slowly stake restricted down to pennies across a number of sites, so just popped on what I was allowed, before switching to other non-restricted bookies.

Devilsp

@john-matthew-norman It’s an interesting comparison

I’ve been doing £2-£4 depending on what I think of the suggested bet.

It seems to be fairly stable and granted it’s taking me a while to build up my profit but the losses are easier to stomach

Some of the Kelly’s I’ve thought were too large even against my bank roll

I’m hoping OP will be coming at us with some suggestions like they do with EWNL

Defo think odds of 3 is the best highest but interested in others views

Devilsp

@jordanstansbury3

Hi buddy, I’m about 96 bets deep £2-4 per bet - about £16 profit for £11 EV max odds of 3 and I do t take draws unless part of no bet

Small yes but I’m testing what works

I went from diamond to elite! I was weighing up going pro when this came out and the price made sense

That said I did expect my first month as elite to have pulled in more than £200 ish across ENWL L15 EF (2UP - not won a thing yet so down on that)

Defo agree we could do with some guidance from the guys now
@administrators @Outplayed @Ollie-OP anything brewing to give us a lift?

alexbart98

@Devilsp I've left it default so up to odds of 5.