General Discussion
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Well well!
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@brian-lee-2403 I call that a lucky escape, i was looking at around -£250 on the golf master if Rose hadn't won. Just about even now.
If anyone is doing the golf master, it's definitely well worth underlaying boosts on some of the top players if you can, as they rarely feature on the golf master. -
Nice one and well done to the winners below....
Still waiting for a bit of luck on the final rounds....
What odds & EV range etc are you guys using?
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I back anything that's 12 places to be honest. Stake-to-win £250.
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@brian-lee-2403
Thank you - I look for 12 places down to around 105%. Think i must be too selective haha.
Fingers crossed for the next one - good luck -
@Happy-Better I tend to avoid anything 500-1 or over, other than that i'll take anything green, and blue. I do vary my stakes though, to try and win minimum £300. If i get boosts, then i'll underlay them on the favourites to balance things out
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@Stevo2000 Thank you.
Great little tip on the boosts - thank you -
Since beginning of July, Kelly Stakes with £750 bankroll to test it. Try to get on as many 12 places then high EV's on 10's
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@sgraham0119 - impressive - thanks for sharing.
This time around i left it until the morning before the event to place the bets but guess prob worth looking from the listing of the event in the hope to pick even a placed player haha
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Any advice, guys - I seem to be following what we're told to do, but I'm just not getting these sort of steady "monthly returns" I'm seeing in people's graphs and Outplayed promo stuff, just had one big winner which stopped the rot of a very rough start!
£800 bankroll, mainly using Kelly stakes, only hitting blue and green and putting between 30-45 bets on the highest number of places people (PP, Sky Bet, 365, etc...).
What's weird, I didn't even get Rose appearing in my list for last week, or was he at 3 places on Bet365, which I try to avoid.
Any tips to align more with the monthly returns I've seen? (other than just sticking with it and reviewing it after 1000 bets? I know there will be people saying I haven't got the stones for this, which is fair enough
)
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Odd's seem to be wrong for SkyBet on the Danish Tour, can someone check?
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Only a few weeks in and testing currently just below EV just did get a winner which helped and a 651/1 place
So far for me it's a good little side hustle on the main hustle of EPM and Lucky's but still not pushing bankroll until done a bit more
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What should I set my filters to on this?
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Few big wins over the weekend on this but I think my max winnings were capped, anyone else experienced this? The profit I had from a 651/1 and 401/1 were cut in half to what the GPM said I would have
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Not a bad start for me, but it does seem very high variance. Horses EPM compared to golf feels like 20p spins on casino vs £1 spins on a big bass slot. Over time the profit should be similar but feels like golf will be a much bumpier ride.
My graph was boosted by a 250/1 winner so without that it looks a lot worse, but then I did have lots of 2nd places that looked like winners until the very end so equally could have been well above EV.
Still unsure whether I’ll renew in November or stick to normal pro tier.
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@denholm11 were they dead heat places?
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@phoenix44 oh I have no idea to be honest, I just about understand the basics of Golf
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@denholm11 yeah they’re annoyingly common in golf, if for example your EW bet is 12 places and your golfer finishes T12 with 4 other golfers then it will wipe out most of your profit. Outplayed added a DH button alongside the normal W/L/V and it will calculate the correct return.
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For sure Dead Heats are annoying, I had Björn Åkesson last weekend at the Danish Champs, who was 651 odds and finished in 12th, but tied with one other player, so payout of 0.75p EW went from £100 to £50 for me.
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@phoenix44 ahh okay I got you, thanks! I just edited the odds until it matched the profit but will bear that in mind in future
